Sebastien Dirren, Ryan D. Torn, and Gregory J. Hakim
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington,Seattle, WA
Monthly Weather Review, 135, 1455--1473.
Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) data assimilation experiments are
conducted on a limited-area domain over the Pacific Northwest region of
the United States, using the Weather Research and Forecasting
model. Idealized surface pressure, radiosoundings and aircraft
observations are assimilated every 6 hours for a seven-day period in
January 2004. The objectives here are to study the performance of the
filter in constraining analysis errors with a relatively inhomogeneous,
sparse observation network and to explore the potential for such a
network to serve as the basis for a real-time EnKF system dedicated to
the Pacific Northwest region of the United States.
When only a single observation type is assimilated results show that
the ensemble-mean analysis error and ensemble spread (standard
deviation) are significantly reduced compared to a control ensemble
without assimilation for both observed and unobserved
variables. Analysis errors are smaller than background errors over
nearly the entire domain when averaged over the seven-day
period. Moreover, comparisons of background errors and observation
increments at each assimilation step suggest that the flow-dependent
filter corrections are accurate in both scale and amplitude. An
illustrative example concerns a mis-specified mesoscale 500-hPa
shortwave trough moving along the British Columbia coast, which is
corrected by surface pressure observations alone. The relative impact
of each observation type upon different variables and vertical levels
is also discussed.
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