2040s Temperature Changes based on 30-year Means

Temperature changes, relative to 2000, for each model based on a centered 30-year means to the simulated regional average.

For all climate model data analysis, regional boundaries are the following: latitude: 42-49 N longitude: 111-124 W

Summer is defined as June, July and August (JJA), while winter is December, January, February (DJF). 'winter' of a given year includes dec of the previous year).

2040 Annual T

2040 Annual T

2040 Annual T

Model A2 Annual B1 Annual A2 JJA B1 JJA A2 DJF B1 DJF
Hadcm3 1.964 1.874 3.668 3.208 1.109 0.939
CCSM3 2.573 2.101 3.232 2.645 1.984 2.061
PCM1 1.272 0.760 1.651 0.860 1.189 0.581
CNRM_CM3 1.311 1.150 2.401 1.918 0.823 0.911
CSIRO_MK3 1.281 0.817 1.543 0.805 0.965 0.642
Echam5 1.317 1.240 1.479 1.287 1.790 1.366
Miroc_3.2 2.465 2.250 2.611 2.276 2.442 2.335
IPSL_CM4 2.254 2.031 2.696 2.387 2.380 2.168
CGCM_3.1 1.827 1.228 1.866 1.332 2.219 1.650
GISS_ER 1.403 1.061 2.352 1.724 0.839 0.753
Temperature Change for 2040's based on 30-year Means (deg C)