Publications

Swann, A. L. S., Koven, C. D., Proistosecu, C., Fisher, R. A., Sanderson, B. M., Brovkin, V., Hajima, T., Jones, C. D., Kiang, N. Y., Lawrence, D. M., Liddicoat, S., Liddy, H., Romanou, A., Sèfèrian, R., Sentman, L. T., Steinert, N. J., Tjiputra, J., Ziehn, T. (2026). Land carbon response to positive, zero, and negative CO2 emissions across Earth system models. EGUsphere.

DOI Preprint

Shum, Greta E. M., Laguë, Marysa M., Swann, Abigail L. S., Bitz, Cecilia, Waddington, Edwin D, Warren, Stephen G. (2026). Dark land surfaces allow for refugia that could support photosynthetic life on the surface of Snowball Earth. ESS Open Archive.

DOI Preprint

Buchovecky, Benjamin G., Lambert, F Hugo, Zarakas, Claire M, Laguë, Marysa M, Koven, Charlie D, Fung, Inez Y, Bonan, David B, Swann, Abigail L S (2026). Reduced Evapotranspiration and Associated Warming Increase Moisture Convergence but Decrease Precipitation Over Land. ESS Open Archive.

DOI Preprint

Zarakas, Claire M., Swann, Abigail L. S., Battisti, David S. (2026). Land-Atmosphere Feedbacks Dampen Surface Evapotranspiration Fluxes in Wet Regions. ESS Open Archive.

DOI Preprint

Yoon, James (Young Suk), Wells, Kelley C., Millet, Dylan B., Christian Frankenberg, Suniti Sanghavi, Swann, Abigail L. S., Thornton, Joel, Turner, Alexander J. (2026). Inferring drivers of tropical isoprene: competing effects of emissions and chemistry. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.

DOI Journal

Liu, Amy X., Zarakas, Claire M., Buchovecky, Benjamin G., Hawkins, Linnia R., Cordak, Alana S., Cornish, Ashley E., Haagsma, Marja, Kooperman, Gabriel J., Still, Chris J., Koven, Charles D., Turner, Alexander J., Battisti, David S., Randerson, James T., Hoffman, Forrest M., Swann, Abigail L. S. (2025). Atmospheric Feedbacks Reverse the Sensitivity of Modeled Photosynthesis to Stomatal Function . Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

DOI Journal

Sanderson, B. M., Brovkin, V., Fisher, R. A., Hohn, D., Ilyina, T., Jones, C. D., Koenigk, T., Koven, C., Li, H., Lawrence, D. M., Lawrence, P., Liddicoat, S., MacDougall, A. H., Mengis, N., Nicholls, Z., O'Rourke, E., Romanou, A., Sanstad, M., Schwinger, J., Seferian, R., Sentman, L. T., Simpson, I. R., Smith, C., Steinert, N. J., Swann, A. L. S., Tjiputra, J., Ziehn, T. (2025). flat10MIP an emissions-driven experiment to diagnose the climate response to positive, zero and negative CO2 emissions. Geoscientific Model Development.

DOI Journal

Cornish, Ashley, Kooperman, Gabriel J., Grundstein, Andrew J., Skinner, Christopher B., Swann, Abigail L. S. (2025). The impacts of plant physiological responses to rising CO2 on humidity-based extreme heat. Nature Climate Change.

Project DOI Journal

Yoon, James (Young Suk), Wells, Kelley C., Millet, Dylan B., Swann, Abigail L. S., Thornton, Joel, Turner, Alexander J. (2025). Impacts of Interannual Isoprene Variations on Methane Lifetimes and Trends. Geophysical Research Letters.

DOI Journal

Lambert, F. H., Allan, R. P., Behrangi, A., Byrne, M. P., Ceppi, P., Chadwick, R., Durack, P. J., Fosser, G., Fowler, H. J., Greve, P., Lee, T., Mutton, H., O'Gorman, P. A., Osborne, J. M., Pendergrass, A. G., Reager, J. T., Stier, P., Swann, A. L. S., Todd, A., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Stephens, G. L. (2025). Changes in the Regional Water Cycle and Their Impact on Societies. WIREs Climate Change.

DOI Journal

Cordak, Alana S., Kooperman, Gabriel J., Zarakas, Claire M.s, Swann, Abigail L. S., Koven, Charles D. (2025). The Role of Leaf Area Changes Within Plant CO2 Physiological Impacts on the Global Hydrological Cycle. Geophysical Research Letters.

Project DOI Journal website ($)

Zarakas, Claire M., Kennedy, Daniel, Dagon, Katherine, Lawrence, David M., Liu, Amy, Bonan, Gordon, Koven, Charles D., Lombardozzi, Danica, Swann, Abigail L. S. (2024). Land Processes Can Substantially Impact the Mean Climate State. Geophysical Research Letters.

Project DOI PDF - Author format

Sanderson, B. M., Booth, B. B. B., Dunne, J., Eyring, V., Fisher, R. A., Friedlingstein, P., Gidden, M. J., Hajima, T., Jones, C. D., Jones, C. G., King, A., Koven, C. D., Lawrence, D. M., Lowe, J., Mengis, N., Peters, G. P., Rogelj, J., Smith, C., Snyder, A. C., Simpson, I. R., Swann, A. L. S., Tebaldi, C., Ilyina, T., Schleussner, C.-F., Sèfèrian, R., Samset, B. H., van Vuuren, D., Zaehle, S. (2024). The need for carbon-emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7. Geoscientific Model Development.

PDF DOI

Zarakas, Claire M., Swann, Abigail L. S., Koven, Charles D., Smith, Marielle N., Taylor, Tyeen C. (2024). Different model assumptions about plant hydraulics and photosynthetic temperature acclimation yield diverging implications for tropical forest resilience. Global Change Biology.

Project DOI PDF - Author format

Bonan, Gordon B., Lucier, Oliver, Coen, Deborah R., Foster, Adrianna C., Shuman, Jacquelyn K., Laguë, Marysa M., Swann, Abigail L. S., Lombardozzi, Danica L., Wieder, William R., Dahlin, Kyla M., Rocha, Adrian V., SanClements, Michael D. (2024). Reimagining Earth in the Earth System. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

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Lee, BH, Munger, JW, Wofsy, SC, Rizzo, LV, Yoon, JY, Turner, A, Thornton, JA, Swann, Abigail L. S. (2024). Sensitive response of atmospheric oxidative capacity to the uncertainty in the emissions of nitric oxide (NO) from soils in Amazonia. Geophysical Research Letters.

DOI PDF

Jennifer Hsiao, Soo-Hyung Kim, Dennis J. Timlin, Nathaniel D. Mueller, Abigail L. S. Swann (2024). Model-aided Climate Adaptation for Future Maize in the U.S.. Environmental Research: Food Systems.

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Feng, Xiao, Swann, Abigail L S, Breshears, David D, Baldwin, Elizabeth, Cheng, Haotian, Derbridge, Jonathan J, Fei, Chengcheng, Lien, Aaron M, López-Hoffman, Laura, McCarl, Bruce, McLaughlin, Danielle M, Soto, José R (2023). Distance decay and directional diffusion of ecoclimate teleconnections driven by regional-scale tree die-off. Environmental Research Letters.

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Greta E. M. Shum, Marysa M. Laguë, Stephanie S. Rushley, Abigail L. S. Swann (2023). Beautiful Days in the Neighborhood: Land-Atmosphere Interactions as Drivers of Forest Expansion. Earth Interactions.

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Danica L. Lombardozzi, William R. Wieder, Negin Sobhani, Gordon B. Bonan, David Durden, Dawn Lenz, Michael SanClements, Samantha Weintraub-Leff, Edward Ayres, Christopher R. Florian, Kyla Dahlin, Sanjiv Kumar, Abigail L. S. Swann, Claire Zarakas, Charles Vardeman, Valerio Pascucci (2023). Overcoming barriers to enable convergence research by integrating ecological and climate sciences: The NCAR-NEON system Version 1. Geoscientific Model Development.

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Yue Li, Jessica C. A. Baker, Paulo M. Brando, Forrest M. Hoffman, David M. Lawrence, Douglas C. Morton, Abigail L. S. Swann, Maria del Rosario Uribe, James T. Randerson (2023). Future increases in Amazonia water stress from CO2 physiology and deforestation. Nature Water.

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C. D. Koven, B. M. Sanderson, A. L. S. Swann (2023). Much of zero emissions commitment occurs before reaching net zero emissions. Environmental Research Letters.

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E. Baldwin, D. M. McLaughlin, V. Jasso, D. Woods, D.D. Breshears, L. Lopez-Hoffman, J. Soto, A.L.S. Swann, A. Lien (2023). Diverse stakeholders and their interests matter to the U.S. Forest Service: a network of action situations analysis of how stakeholders affect forest plan outcomes. Sustainability Science.

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Marianne Pietschnig, Abigail L. S. Swann, F. Hugo Lambert, Geoffrey K. Vallis (2021). Response of tropical rainfall to reduced evapotranspiration depends on continental extent. Journal of Climate.

Project DOI

Marysa M. Laguë, Abigail L. S. Swann, William R. Boos (2021). Radiative Feedbacks on Land Surface Change and Associated Tropical Precipitation Shifts. Journal of Climate.

Project DOI ArXiv PDF - Author format

Marlies Kovenock, Charles D. Koven, Ryan G. Knox, Rosie A. Fisher, Abigail L. S. Swann (2020). Leaf trait plasticity alters competitive ability and functioning of simulated tropical trees in response to elevated carbon dioxide. Global Biogeochemical Cycles.

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Stark, Scott C., Breshears, David D., Aragón, Susan, Villegas, Juan Camilo, Law, Darin J., Smith, Marielle N., Minor, David M., de Assis, Rafael Leandro, de Almeida, Danilo Roberti Alves, de Oliveira, Gabriel, Saleska, Scott R., Swann, Abigail L. S., Moura, JoséMauro S., Camargo, JoséLuis, da Silva, Rodrigo, Aragão, Luiz E. O. C., Oliveira, R. Cosme (2020). Reframing tropical savannization: linking changes in canopy structure to energy balance alterations that impact climate. Ecosphere.

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Zarakas, Claire M., Swann, Abigail L. S., Laguë, Marysa M., Armour, Kyle C., Randerson, James T. (2020). Plant Physiology Increases the Magnitude and Spread of the Transient Climate Response to CO$_2$ in CMIP6 Earth System Models. Journal of Climate.

Project DOI ArXiv PDF - Author format

Brey, Steven J., Barnes, Elizabeth A., Pierce, Jeffrey R., Swann, Abigail L. S., Fischer, Emily V. (2020). Past variance and future projections of the environmental conditions driving western U.S. summertime wildfire burn area. Earth’s Future.

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Allan, Richard P., Barlow, Mathew, Byrne, Michael P., Cherchi, Annalisa, Douville, Hervé, Fowler, Hayley J., Gan, Thian Y., Pendergrass, Angeline G., Rosenfeld, Daniel, Swann, Abigail L. S., Wilcox, Laura J., Zolina, Olga (2020). Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences.

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Jinhyuk E. Kim, Marysa M. Laguë, Sam Pennypacker, Eliza Dawson, Abigail L. S. Swann (2020). Evaporative Resistance is of Equal Importance as Surface Albedo in High-Latitude Surface Temperatures Due to Cloud Feedbacks. Geophysical Research Letters.

DOI ArXiv PDF - Author format Data

C. D. Koven, R. G. Knox, R. A. Fisher, J. Q. Chambers, B. O. Christoffersen, S. J. Davies, M. Detto, M. C. Dietze, B. Faybishenko, J. Holm, M. Huang, M. Kovenock, L. M. Kueppers, G. Lemieux, E. Massoud, N. G. McDowell, H. C. Muller-Landau, J. F. Needham, R. J. Norby, T. Powell, A. Rogers, S. P. Serbin, J. K. Shuman, A. L. S. Swann, C. Varadharajan, A. P. Walker, S. J. Wright, C. Xu (2020). Benchmarking and parameter sensitivity of physiological and vegetation dynamics using the Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator (FATES) at Barro Colorado Island, Panama. Biogeosciences.

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Marcos Longo, Ryan G. Knox, Naomi M. Levine, Abigail L. S. Swann, David M. Medvigy, Dietze, M. C., Kim, Y., Zhang, K., Bonal, D., Burban, B., Camargo, P. B., Hayek, M. N., Saleska, S. R., da Silva, R., Bras, R. L., Wofsy, S. C., Moorcroft, P. R. (2019). The biophysics, ecology, and biogeochemistry of functionally diverse, vertically and horizontally heterogeneous ecosystems: the Ecosystem Demography model, version 2.2 - Part 2: Model evaluation for tropical South America. Geoscientific Model Development.

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Marcos Longo, Ryan G. Knox, David M. Medvigy, Naomi M. Levine, Dietze, M. C., Kim, Y., Abigail L. S. Swann, Zhang, K., Rollinson, C. R., Bras, R. L., Wofsy, S. C., Moorcroft, P. R. (2019). The biophysics, ecology, and biogeochemistry of functionally diverse, vertically and horizontally heterogeneous ecosystems: the Ecosystem Demography model, version 2.2 - Part 1: Model description. Geoscientific Model Development.

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Marysa M. Laguë, Gordon B. Bonan, Abigail L. S. Swann (2019). Separating the Impact of Individual Land Surface Properties on the Terrestrial Surface Energy Budget in both the Coupled and Uncoupled Land--Atmosphere System. Journal of Climate.

Project DOI ArXiv PDF - Author format

Jennifer Hsiao, Abigail L. S. Swann, Soo-Hyung Kim (2019). Maize yield under a changing climate: The hidden role of vapor pressure deficit. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology.

Project DOI ArXiv PDF - Author format

Gabriel J. Kooperman, Megan D. Fowler, Forrest M. Hoffman, Charles D. Koven, Keith Lindsay, Michael S. Pritchard, Abigail L. S. Swann, James T. Randerson (2018). Plant Physiological Responses to Rising CO$_2$ Modify Simulated Daily Runoff Intensity With Implications for Global-Scale Flood Risk Assessment. Geophysical Research Letters.

Project DOI Journal website ($)

Marlies Kovenock, Abigail L. S. Swann (2018). Leaf Trait Acclimation Amplifies Simulated Climate Warming in Response to Elevated Carbon Dioxide. Global Biogeochemical Cycles.

Project DOI ArXiv PDF - Author format Data Press - Press of Atlantic City Press - Geographical Magazine

Gregory R. Quetin, Abigail L. S. Swann (2018). Sensitivity of Leaf Area to Interannual Climate Variation as a Diagnostic of Ecosystem Function in CMIP5 Carbon Cycle Models. Journal of Climate.

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Léo Lemordant, Pierre Gentine, Abigail S. Swann, Benjamin I. Cook, Jacob Scheff (2018). Critical impact of vegetation physiology on the continental hydrologic cycle in response to increasing CO$_2$. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

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Abigail L. S. Swann (2018). Plants and Drought in a Changing Climate. Current Climate Change Reports.

Project DOI PDF - Author format ArXiv

Gabriel J. Kooperman, Yang Chen, Forrest M. Hoffman, Charles D. Koven, Keith Lindsay, Michael S. Pritchard, Abigail L. S. Swann, James T. Randerson (2018). Forest response to rising CO$_2$ drives zonally asymmetric rainfall change over tropical land. Nature Climate Change.

Project DOI Journal website ($) Press - Mongabay

Abigail L S Swann, Marysa M Laguë, Elizabeth S Garcia, Jason P Field, David D Breshears, David J P Moore, Scott R Saleska, Scott C Stark, Juan Camilo Villegas, Darin J Law, David M Minor (2018). Continental-scale consequences of tree die-offs in North America: identifying where forest loss matters most. Environmental Research Letters.

PDF DOI Data Press - Inside Science Press - Living On Earth, PRI

E. Natasha Stavros, David Schimel, Ryan Pavlick, Shawn Serbin, Abigail L.S. Swann, Laura Duncanson, Joshua B. Fisher, Fabian Fassnacht, Susan Ustin, Ralph Dubayah, Anna Schweiger, Paul Wennberg (2017). ISS observations offer insights into plant function. Nature Ecology and Evolution.

DOI Journal Website ($)

Gregory R. Quetin, Abigail L. S. Swann (2017). Empirically Derived Sensitivity of Vegetation to Climate across Global Gradients of Temperature and Precipitation. Journal of Climate.

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Juan Camilo Villegas, Darin J. Law, Scott C. Stark, David M. Minor, David D. Breshears, Scott R. Saleska, Abigail L. S. Swann, Elizabeth S. Garcia, Elizabeth M. Bella, John M. Morton, Neil S. Cobb, Greg A. Barron-Gafford, Marcy E. Litvak, Thomas E. Kolb (2017). Prototype campaign assessment of disturbance-induced tree loss effects on surface properties for atmospheric modeling. Ecosphere.

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Abigail L. S. Swann, Charles D. Koven (2017). A Direct Estimate of the Seasonal Cycle of Evapotranspiration over the Amazon Basin. Journal of Hydrometeorology.

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Garcia, Elizabeth S., Swann, Abigail L. S., Villegas, Juan C., Breshears, David D., Law, Darin J., Saleska, Scott R., Stark, Scott C. Garcia (2016). Synergistic Ecoclimate Teleconnections from Forest Loss in Different Regions Structure Global Ecological Responses. PLOS ONE.

PDF Project DOI Data Press - Mongabay Press - The Oregonian Press - Huffington Post Press - Vocativ Press - Scientific American

Scott C. Stark, David D. Breshears, Elizabeth S. Garcia, Darin J. Law, David M. Minor, Scott R. Saleska, Abigail L. S. Swann, Juan Camilo Villegas, Luiz E. O. C. Aragão, Elizabeth M. Bella, Laura S. Borma, Neil S. Cobb, Marcy E. Litvak, William E. Magnusson, John M. Morton, Miranda D. Redmond (2016). Toward accounting for ecoclimate teleconnections: intra- and inter-continental consequences of altered energy balance after vegetation change. Landscape Ecology.

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Marysa M. Laguë, Abigail L. S. Swann (2016). Progressive Midlatitude Afforestation: Impacts on Clouds, Global Energy Transport, and Precipitation. Journal of Climate.

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Abigail L. S. Swann, Forrest M. Hoffman, Charles D. Koven, James T. Randerson (2016). Plant responses to increasing CO$_2$ reduce estimates of climate impacts on drought severity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

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Abigail L. S. Swann, Marcos Longo, Ryan G. Knox, Eunjee Lee, Paul R. Moorcroft (2015). Future deforestation in the Amazon and consequences for South American climate. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology.

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Ryan G. Knox, Marcos Longo, Abigail L. S. Swann, Ke Zhang, Naomi M. Levine, Paul R. Moorcroft, Rafael L. Bras (2015). Hydrometeorological effects of historical land-conversion in an ecosystem-atmosphere model of Northern South America. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.

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Abigail L. S. Swann, Inez Y. Fung, Yuwei Liu, John C. H. Chiang (2014). Remote Vegetation Feedbacks and the Mid-Holocene Green Sahara. Journal of Climate.

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Abigail L. S. Swann, Inez Y. Fung, John C. H. Chiang (2012). Mid-latitude afforestation shifts general circulation and tropical precipitation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

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I.Y. Fung, A.L.S. Swann (2011). Climatic Consequences of Afforestation. AIP Conference Proceedings.

Abigail L. S. Swann (2010). Ecoclimate: Variations, Interactions, and Teleconnections.

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Jung-Eun Lee, Abigail L.S. Swann (2010). Evaluation of the "amount effect" at speleothem sites in the Asian monsoon region. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science.

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Abigail L.S. Swann, Inez Y. Fung, Samuel Levis, Gordon B. Bonan, Scott C. Doney (2010). Changes in Arctic vegetation amplify high-latitude warming through the greenhouse effect. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

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Jung-Eun Lee, Raymond Pierrehumbert, Abigail Swann, Benjamin R. Lintner (2009). Sensitivity of stable water isotopic values to convective parameterization schemes. Geophysical Research Letters.

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A. Swann, A.H. Sobel, S.E. Yuter, G.N. Kiladis (2006). Observed radar reflectivity in convectively coupled Kelvin and mixed Rossby-gravity waves. Geophysical research letters.

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