Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth
 University of Washington
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In review/submitted

  • Roach, L. A., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Observed winds crucial for September Arctic sea ice loss, submitted to Geophysical Research Letters

  • Roach, L. A., Eisenman, I., Wagner, T. J. W., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., and Bitz, C.M., Asymmetry in the seasonal cycle of Antarctic sea ice due to insolation, in review, Nature Geoscience

  • McGraw, M.C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E, Clancy, R.P., and Bitz, C.M., Understanding the Predictability of Arctic Sea Ice Loss on Subseasonal Timescales, in review, Journal of Climate

  • Kay, J.E., DuVivier A. K, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Deser, C., Jahn, A., Singh, H., Smith, M., Webster, M. A., Edwards, J., Lee, S. S., Rodgers, K. B., and Rosenbloom, N. Less surface sea ice melt in the CESM2 improves Arctic sea ice simulation with minimal non-polar climate impacts, in review, JAMES

    2021/in press

  • Clancy, R., Bitz, C.M., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., McGraw, M., and Cavallo, S., Drivers of asymmetric patterns in the atmosphere and sea ice during Arctic cyclones, in press, Journal of Climate

  • Clancy, R., Bitz, C.M., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., The influence of ENSO on Arctic sea ice in large ensembles and observations, in press, Journal of Climate

  • Andersson, T. R., Hosking, J. S., Perez-Ortiz, M., Paige, B., Elliott, A., Russell, C., ... & Shuckburgh, E. (2021). Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning, Nature Communications, 12, 5124, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25257-4

  • MacGregor, J., et al., 2021, The scientific legacy of NASA's Operation IceBridge, Reviews of Geophysics, https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020RG000712

  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Donohoe, A., Roach, L. A., DuVivier, A., and Bitz, C. M., 2021, High-Frequency Sea Ice Variability in Observations and Models. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(14), e2020GL092356.

  • Zhang, Y. F., Bitz, C. M., Anderson, J. L., Collins, N. S., Hoar, T. J., Raeder, K. D., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. (2021). Estimating parameters in a sea ice model using an ensemble Kalman filter. The Cryosphere, 15(3), 1277-1284.

  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Roach, L.A., Donohoe, A., and Ding, Q., 2021, Impact of winds and Southern Ocean SSTs on Antarctic sea ice trends and variability, Journal of Climate, 34(3), pp.949-965

  • Steele, M., Eicken, H., Bhatt, U., Bieniek, P., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Wiggins, H., Turner-Bogren, B., Hamilton, L., Little, J., Massonnet, F. and Meier, W.N., 2021. Moving Sea Ice Prediction Forward Via Community Intercomparison, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, pp.1-7.


  • Song, Y., Behrangi, A., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Assessment of Satellite and Reanalysis Precipitation Estimates over Arctic Sea Ice, Geophysical Research Letters, 47(16), p.e2020GL088970

  • Bushuk, M., Winton, M., Bonan, D., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., and Delworth, T., A mechanism for the Arctic sea ice spring predictability barrier, Geophysical Research Letters, p.e2020GL088335

  • Horvat, C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. and Petty, A., 2020, Observing waves in sea ice with ICESat-2, Geophysical Research Letters, e2020GL087629.

  • Donohoe, A., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Schweiger, A., and Rasch, P., Ice albedo feedback: comparison of model and observational based estimates, Journal of Climate, 33(13), pp.5743-5765

  • Brennan, M.K., Hakim, G.J., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2020, Arctic sea ice variability during the Instrumental Era, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2019GL086843. https:// doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086843

  • Bonan, D., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2020, Nonstationary teleconnection between the Pacific Ocean and Arctic sea ice, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2019GL085666. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085666


  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., and Ding, Q., 2019, Tropical and mid-latitude impacts on seasonal polar predictability in the Community Earth System Model, Journal of Climate, 32,5997-6014, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0088.1

  • Wayand, N., Bitz, C.M., and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., A Year-Round Subseasonal-To-Seasonal Sea Ice Prediction Portal, Geophysical Research Letters, 46(6), 3298-3307.

  • Ding, Q., Schweiger, A., L`Heureux, M., Steig, E.J., Battisti, D.S., Johnson, N.C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Po-Chedley, S., Zhang, Q., Harnos, K. and Bushuk, M., 2019. Fingerprints of internal drivers of Arctic sea ice loss in observations and model simulations. Nature Geoscience, 12(1), p.28.

  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, and Bushuk, M. Robustness of Arctic sea-ice predictability in GCMs, 2019, Climate Dynamics, 52(9-10), pp.5555-5566, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4461-3


  • Goldenson, N., Leung, L.R., Bitz, C.M. and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2018. Influence of Atmospheric Rivers on Mountain Snowpack in the Western United States. Journal of Climate, 31(24), pp.9921-9940.

  • Ordoñez, A.C., Bitz, C.M. and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2018. Processes Controlling Arctic and Antarctic Sea Ice Predictability in the Community Earth System Model. Journal of Climate, 31(23), pp.9771-9786.

  • Massonnet, F, Vancoppenolle, M, Goose, H, Docquier D, Fichefet, F, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., 2018, Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes, Nature Climate Change, 8, 599-603

  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Webster, M, Farrell, S, and Bitz, C. M., 2018, Reconstruction of Arctic snow on sea ice, Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 123, 3588-3602


  • Ding, Q., Schweiger, A., L'Heureux, M., Battisti, D.S., Po-Chedley, S., Johnson, N.C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Harnos, K., Zhang, Q., Eastman, R. and Steig, E.J., 2017. Influence of high-latitude atmospheric circulation changes on summertime Arctic sea ice, Nature Climate Change, 7(4), pp.289-295.


  • Cheng, W., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Bitz, C.M., Ladd, C., Stabeno, P., (2016) Diagnostic sea ice predictability in the pan-Arctic and US Arctic regional seas, Geophysical Research Letters, , 43(22), pp.11-688.

  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, A. Barthélemy M. Chevallier R. Cullather N. Fuĉkar F. Massonnet P. Posey W. Wang J. Zhang C. Ardilouze C. M. Bitz G. Vernieres A. Wallcraft M. Wang, (2016) Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea-ice: forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales, Climate Dynamics,, 49(4), pp.1399-1410.


  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Farrell S, Newman, T, and Bitz, C. M., (2015) Snow cover on Arctic Sea ice in observations and an Earth System Model, Geophysical Research Letters, 42(23),pp.10-342  [pdf]

  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Cullather, R, Wanqiu, W, Zhang, J, and Bitz, C. M., (2015) Model skill and sensitivity to initial conditions in a sea-ice prediction system, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, doi:10.1002/2015GL065860  [pdf]

  • Dukhovskoy D, Ubnoske J, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Heister H, and Proshutinsky A Y (2015) Skill metrics for evaluation and comparison of sea ice models, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, doi:10.1002/2015JC010989

  • Stroeve, J, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Guemas, V. Howell, S. Massonnet, F, and Tietsche, S (2015) Improving predictions of Arctic sea ice extent, EOS, 96, doi:10.1029/2015EO031431


  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, and CM Bitz (2014) Characteristics of Arctic sea-ice thickness variability in GCMs , Journal of Climate, 27, 8244-8258, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00345.1  [pdf]

  • Virginie Guemas, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Matthieu Chevallier, Jonathan J Day, Michel Déqué, Francisco J Doblas-Reyes, Neven Fuckar, Agathe Germe, Ed Hawkins, Sarah Keeley, Torben Koenigk, David Salas y Mélia, Steffen Tietsche (2014) A review on Arctic sea ice predictability and prediction on seasonal-to-decadal timescales Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, in press

  • Stroeve, J. Hamilton, L. C. Bitz, M. and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E (2014) Predicting September sea ice: Ensemble skill of the SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook 2008-2013 Geophysical Research Letters, 41(7), 2411-2418


  • Holland, M. M. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Kay, J. and Vavrus, S. (2013) Initial - value predictability of Antarctic sea ice in the community climate system model 3, Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (10), 2121-2124


  • Kay, J. E., Holland, M. M., Bitz, C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Conley, A., Gettelman, A., and D. Bailey (2012) The influence of local feedbacks and northward heat transport on the equilibrium Arctic climate response to increased greenhouse gas forcing in coupled climate models, Journal of Climate, 25, 5433-5450, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00622.1 [pdf]


  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, CM Bitz and MM Holland (2011) Influence of initial conditions and climate forcing on predicting Arctic sea ice, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L18503, doi: 10.1029/2011GL048807  [pdf]

  • Armour KC, I Eisenman, E Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, KE McCusker, and CM Bitz (2011) The reversibility of sea ice loss in a state-of-the-art climate model, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L16705, doi: 10.1029/2011GL048739  [pdf]  [grl research highlight]

  • Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, KC Armour, CM Bitz and E DeWeaver (2011) Persistence and inherent predictability of Arctic sea ice in a GCM ensemble and observations, Journal of Climate, 24, 231-250, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3775.1  [pdf]

    From way back in the day...

    Research on Spanish glaciers:
  • Dinamica de los glaciares del Pirineo aragones: resultados de la campaña glaciologica del año 1998(2000), Javier Chueca Cia, Asuncion Julian Andres, Jose Luis Peña Monne, E. Blanchard Wrigglesworth, Boletin Glaciologico Aragones, (1), 13-41
    ...and Spanish weather
  • The 1997 veranillo of San Miguel in north-eastern Spain (1999), E. Blanchard Wrigglesworth
    Weather, 54, 4, 114-119.